So he has a little cushion there to workwith. [41][note 1][42]. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? These are general election results for the years listed. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. All Rights Reserved. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. These are general election results for the years listed. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Blue states rank better than red ones: How'd your state fare in 14 Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Same for GA senate races Charlie. Error! Swing states: Arizona - A red state turning blue? - CGTN Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Former Governor Ed Rendell But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Which States Flipped In The 2020 Election? There Was A Shakeup Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Pennsylvania Cc Race Results - PennTrackXC.com This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Red vs. Blue States: Competing Visions for 2022 and 2024 Electoral votes invalidated. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. You have entered an incorrect email address! 'Ohio has taken a different turn': Ohio no longer appears to be a swing Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. The Hill . In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Continue with Recommended Cookies. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). elections. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . If . ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. But registration figures vary greatly by county. For Trump, It's Not the United States, It's Red and Blue States Inside Pennsylvania, a Truly Red State - Richardcyoung To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. COVID-19 has hit people in Republican-led states hardest, study finds However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Same caution about borders applies. List Of Blue States And Red States No. Zirpoli: The states that are givers and takers of federal dollars may We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Special elections, if any, are excluded. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . 2023 Best & Worst States for Retirement | Retirement Living Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Red states vs. blue states. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. On weather maps, Pennsylvania flips from blue to red. How - courant.com Is Wisconsin a red state? Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. #V. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Thats a point that they made. List of Red States (Republican States) - WorldAtlas To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea).